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Shea Langeliers
C · RHB · RHP · OAK
// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP
Our track record
settled S/A/B picks on Shea Langeliers, by confidence tier| Tier | Record | Hit rate | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| S | 2-0 | 100% | +49.5% |
| A | 4-0 | 100% | +93.5% |
| B | 0-3 | 0% | -100.0% |
Combined 6-3 · n=9 · ROI +19.2% · avg CLV -10.5 pts · beat close 0%
Matchup
Shea Langeliers (RHB) vs Casey Mize RHPfavors batterfavors pitcherPitch-type matchup
Casey Mize's arsenal × how Shea Langeliers hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spotxwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.
Hit-rate history
per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = underRecent form
per-game over the last 10Avg PA4.0Plate Appearancesavg 4.0
Hitsavg 1.1
Singlesavg 0.5
Doublesavg 0.3
Total Basesavg 2.3
Home Runsavg 0.3
Strikeoutsavg 1.4
Walksavg 0.5
Tonight's lines
2026-08-02 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)Splits
Career n=429 PA · 2026-03-16 → 2026-07-24
xStats luck
xwOBA0.358
wOBA0.373
delta+0.015 hot
n=429 PA
Spray chart
689 balls in play since 2025Balls in play689
HR rate8.1%
Hard-hit (95+)44%
Avg exit velo91.5 mph
Ground ball37%
Line drive25%
Fly ball30%
What kind of arm does he crush?
top 3 pitcher traits by |lift|
-36.4%significant
n=387 games · 4/44 HR when active
+40.1%significant
n=386 games · 18/64 HR when active
+12.3%small sample
n=352 games · 13/58 HR when active
// PLAYER DNA
HR signature· refreshed 2026-07-28
// TONIGHT
0 / 3HELPING · IN PLAY
Leaning against
// IN PLAY TONIGHT
- −29% HR rate when hr-suppressing park (factor ≤ 0.95).
- −28% HR rate when playing at home.
- −25% HR rate when hot streak (l5 avg ev > career baseline).
helping tonighthurting tonightnot in play tonight
Vs. HR-prone pitcher (HR/PA > 3.8%)
+40%
64 yes / 322 no · 76 HRs
≥1 career HR vs this pitcher
0.64× HR rate
44 yes / 343 no · 77 HRs
HR-suppressing park (factor ≤ 0.95)tonight
−29%
238 yes / 148 no · 77 HRs
Playing at hometonight
−28%
197 yes / 190 no · 77 HRs
Hot streak (L5 avg EV > career baseline)tonight
−25%
239 yes / 143 no · 77 HRs
// 23 more factors — small sample / no significant lift
No rest day (B2B or doubleheader)
+18%
265 yes / 121 no · 77 HRs
Rested (2+ days off)
+15%
23 yes / 363 no · 77 HRs
First-pitch temperature > 78°F
+13%
62 yes / 307 no · 73 HRs
Opposing starter coming off >7 days rest
+12%
58 yes / 294 no · 69 HRs
Batting 3-4-5 in the order
+11%
159 yes / 228 no · 77 HRs
Summer game (Jun-Aug)
+10%
155 yes / 232 no · 77 HRs
Vs. high-xwOBA pitcher (xwOBA allowed > .340)
−10%
79 yes / 308 no · 77 HRs
≥2 career HRs vs this pitcher
−10%
3 yes / 384 no · 77 HRs
Vs. hittable pitcher (BAA > .260)
+8%
79 yes / 308 no · 77 HRs
3rd time through order vs starter
−8%
200 yes / 187 no · 77 HRs
Platoon advantage (LHB-vs-RHP or RHB-vs-LHP)
+7%
78 yes / 192 no · 52 HRs
Vs. high-contact-quality pitcher (avg EV allowed ≥ 89 mph)
−6%
178 yes / 209 no · 77 HRs
HR-friendly park (factor ≥ 1.10)
+5%
37 yes / 349 no · 77 HRs
Cold month (Apr / Sep / Oct)
neutral
112 yes / 275 no · 77 HRs
Vs. fastball-heavy pitcher (FB% ≥ 55%)
neutral
209 yes / 168 no · 73 HRs
Vs. fly-ball-prone pitcher (FB% allowed > 40%)
neutral
52 yes / 332 no · 76 HRs
Vs. short-leash starter (avg IP < 5.0)
neutral
149 yes / 233 no · 76 HRs
Opposing starter's recent FB velo down ≥1 mph
neutral
51 yes / 274 no · 63 HRs
Vs. pull-fly-ball-prone pitcher (>18%)
neutral
267 yes / 117 no · 76 HRs
Wind blowing out (≥10 mph, outdoor)
neutral
5 yes / 364 no · 73 HRs
Vs. low-whiff pitcher (whiff% < 22%)
neutral
0 yes / 0 no · 0 HRs
≥3 career HRs vs this pitcher
neutral
0 yes / 387 no · 77 HRs
Vs. barrel-prone pitcher (Barrel% allowed > 9%)
neutral
0 yes / 384 no · 76 HRs
// LIFT = P(HR | factor true) ÷ P(HR | factor false), Bayesian- shrunk with K=30 pseudo-games. Significance requires |lift − 1| ≥ 0.20 AND smaller cohort n ≥ 15. Cohort = top 60 HR hitters, last 2 seasons. Refreshed weekly. Green/red = the factor's effect on tonight's HR chance; gray = not in play tonight.
Last 10 games
Per-game outcomes — most recent first.
Nearest neighbors
Top 10 hitters most similar to Shea Langeliers across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.
Comp data temporarily unavailable.