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Shea Langeliers
C · RHB · RHP · OAK
Our track record
settled S/A/B picks on Shea Langeliers, by confidence tier| Tier | Record | Hit rate | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| S | 1-0 | 100% | +51.0% |
| A | 3-1 | 75% | +56.5% |
| B | 2-2 | 50% | -26.0% |
Combined 6-3 · n=9 · ROI +19.2% · avg CLV -10.5 pts · beat close 0%
Hit-rate history
per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = underRecent form
per-game over the last 10Avg PA3.7Plate Appearancesavg 3.7
Hitsavg 1.0
Singlesavg 0.8
Doublesavg 0.1
Total Basesavg 1.4
Home Runsavg 0.1
Strikeoutsavg 0.9
Walksavg 0.2
Splits
Career n=2,045 PA · 2023-03-30 → 2026-09-20
xStats luck
xwOBA0.357
wOBA0.367
delta+0.010 hot
n=454 PA
Spray chart
707 balls in play since 2025Balls in play707
HR rate7.9%
Hard-hit (95+)43%
Avg exit velo91.3 mph
Ground ball37%
Line drive25%
Fly ball29%
What kind of arm does he crush?
top 3 pitcher traits by |lift|
-36.8%significant
n=394 games · 4/45 HR when active
+36.6%significant
n=394 games · 17/62 HR when active
+18.9%small sample
n=394 games · 13/54 HR when active
// PLAYER DNA
HR signature· refreshed 2026-09-22
helping tonighthurting tonightnot in play tonight
≥1 career HR vs this pitcher
0.63× HR rate
45 yes / 349 no · 77 HRs
Vs. HR-prone pitcher (HR/PA > 3.8%)
+37%
62 yes / 332 no · 77 HRs
HR-suppressing park (factor ≤ 0.95)
−30%
243 yes / 150 no · 77 HRs
Playing at home
−27%
199 yes / 195 no · 77 HRs
Hot streak (L5 avg EV > career baseline)
−24%
242 yes / 147 no · 77 HRs
// 23 more factors — small sample / no significant lift
Vs. fly-ball-prone pitcher (FB% allowed > 40%)
+19%
54 yes / 340 no · 77 HRs
No rest day (B2B or doubleheader)
+19%
269 yes / 124 no · 77 HRs
Opposing starter coming off >7 days rest
+14%
58 yes / 301 no · 69 HRs
Rested (2+ days off)
+14%
24 yes / 369 no · 77 HRs
Summer game (Jun-Aug)
+13%
155 yes / 239 no · 77 HRs
≥2 career HRs vs this pitcher
−13%
4 yes / 390 no · 77 HRs
Vs. high-xwOBA pitcher (xwOBA allowed > .340)
−10%
75 yes / 319 no · 77 HRs
First-pitch temperature > 78°F
+10%
65 yes / 311 no · 73 HRs
Platoon advantage (LHB-vs-RHP or RHB-vs-LHP)
+10%
78 yes / 198 no · 52 HRs
Batting 3-4-5 in the order
+9%
164 yes / 230 no · 77 HRs
Vs. hittable pitcher (BAA > .260)
+7%
81 yes / 313 no · 77 HRs
HR-friendly park (factor ≥ 1.10)
+7%
37 yes / 356 no · 77 HRs
3rd time through order vs starter
−6%
202 yes / 192 no · 77 HRs
Vs. short-leash starter (avg IP < 5.0)
+5%
143 yes / 246 no · 76 HRs
Vs. pull-fly-ball-prone pitcher (>18%)
+5%
287 yes / 107 no · 77 HRs
≥3 career HRs vs this pitcher
neutral
1 yes / 393 no · 77 HRs
Wind blowing out (≥10 mph, outdoor)
neutral
6 yes / 370 no · 73 HRs
Opposing starter's recent FB velo down ≥1 mph
neutral
51 yes / 280 no · 63 HRs
Vs. high-contact-quality pitcher (avg EV allowed ≥ 89 mph)
neutral
172 yes / 222 no · 77 HRs
Cold month (Apr / Sep / Oct)
neutral
119 yes / 275 no · 77 HRs
Vs. fastball-heavy pitcher (FB% ≥ 55%)
neutral
214 yes / 169 no · 73 HRs
Vs. barrel-prone pitcher (Barrel% allowed > 9%)
neutral
0 yes / 394 no · 77 HRs
Vs. low-whiff pitcher (whiff% < 22%)
neutral
0 yes / 0 no · 0 HRs
// LIFT = P(HR | factor true) ÷ P(HR | factor false), Bayesian- shrunk with K=30 pseudo-games. Significance requires |lift − 1| ≥ 0.20 AND smaller cohort n ≥ 15. Cohort = top 60 HR hitters, last 2 seasons. Refreshed weekly. Green/red = the factor's effect on tonight's HR chance; gray = not in play tonight.
Last 10 games
Per-game outcomes — most recent first.
Nearest neighbors
Top 10 hitters most similar to Shea Langeliers across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.
Comp data temporarily unavailable.