Iván Herrera

DH · RHB · RHP · STL

// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP

Away @

CIN

Starter

Brady Singer (RHP)

Stadium

Great American Ball Park

Model HR%

13.8%

Tonight's top play

Home Runs UNDER 0.5+2.6% edgemodel 88% · grade PASS

Verdict

one call per prop — does the model agree with recent reality?

Prop	Pick	Model	Edge	L10	Verdict
Home Runs	UNDER 0.5	88%	+2.6%	90%	LEAN

Our track record

settled S/A/B picks on Iván Herrera, by confidence tier

Tier	Record	Hit rate	ROI
S	7-5	58%	-11.2%
A	7-10	41%	-17.3%
B	3-13	19%	-63.2%

Combined 17-28 · n=45 · ROI -32.0% · avg CLV +0.0 pts · beat close 0%

Matchup

Iván Herrera (RHB) vs Brady Singer RHPfavors batterfavors pitcher

Brady Singer RHP · season · 137.4 IP · 591 BF

BAA

.271

wOBA

.341

SLG

.461

ISO

.190

WHIP

1.45

HR/9

1.64

BB%

9.0%

18.6%

Whiff%

—

Barrel%

2.6%

HH%

42.4%

FB%

32.6%

HR/FB%

22.5%

Iván Herrera hitting

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	HR	BB%	K%
Season	115-472	.244	.386	.142	14	14.8%	20.3%
vs RHP	80-335	.239	.367	.128	8	12.8%	21.5%

Hit-rate history

per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = under

OVER

0.5

Hits

80%8/10 · L10 · avg 1.4

Recent form

per-game over the last 10Avg PA4.7

Plate Appearancesavg 4.7

Hitsavg 1.4

Singlesavg 0.8

Doublesavg 0.5

Total Basesavg 2.2

Home Runsavg 0.1

Strikeoutsavg 0.8

Walksavg 0.3

Tonight's lines

2026-08-17 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)

Home Runs

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
BEST0.5	UNDER	PASS	86%	+0.7%	-588	-6.2	Sign in to save	Sign in
BEST0.5	UNDER	PASS	88%	+2.6%	-588	-6.2	Sign in to save	Sign in

Singles

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	—	PASS	50%	—	-145	-1.6	Sign in to save	—
0.5	—	B	49%	—	-145	-1.6	Sign in to save	—

Same-game parlay

pick 2+ — we price the correlation the book won't

Splits

Career n=554 PA · 2026-03-18 → 2026-08-15

Season Career

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	2B	3B	HR	BB	K%
Season 2026 season	115-472	.244	.386	.142	23	1	14	82	20.3%
vs LHP left-handed pitching	35-137	.255	.431	.175	6	0	6	33	17.5%
vs RHP right-handed pitching	80-335	.239	.367	.128	17	1	8	49	21.5%
Last 15 days recent form	14-49	.286	.449	.163	5	0	1	6	20.4%
vs Brady Singer tonight's starting pitcher	1-7	.143	.143	.000	0	0	0	2	0.0%
vs CIN tonight's opponent (full roster)	16-50	.320	.500	.180	1	1	2	9	14.0%
@ Great American Ball Park tonight's stadium	50-75	.667	1.333	.667	0	25	0	50	0.0%

xStats luck

xwOBA0.346

wOBA0.342

delta−0.004 due

n=552 PA

Spray chart

692 balls in play since 2025· wind 5 mph cross-wind

Balls in play692

HR rate4.8%

Hard-hit (95+)43%

Avg exit velo89.8 mph

Ground ball49%

Line drive24%

Fly ball19%

// PLAYER DNA

No statistically significant HR signature found at current sample size. We won't fabricate a pattern — most hitters need at least a half-season of data before factor lifts stabilize.

Last 10 games

Per-game outcomes — most recent first.

Date	PA	H	2B	HR	BB	K	Outcomes
2026-08-16	5	1	0	0	1	1	1-for-4 · 1 RBI · 1 R · 1 BB · 1 K
2026-08-15	5	0	0	0	1	0	0-for-4 · 1 BB
2026-08-14	4	1	0	0	0	0	1-for-4
2026-08-12	5	1	0	0	1	1	1-for-4 · 1 RBI · 2 R · 1 BB · 1 K
2026-08-11	4	0	0	0	0	2	0-for-4 · 2 K
2026-08-10	5	2	2	0	0	0	2-for-5 · 2 2B · 2 R
2026-08-09	5	4	0	0	0	0	4-for-5 · 1 RBI · 1 R
2026-08-08	5	3	2	0	0	0	3-for-5 · 2 2B · 1 RBI · 2 R
2026-08-07	4	1	0	1	0	2	1-for-4 · 1 HR · 1 RBI · 1 R · 2 K
2026-08-05	5	1	1	0	0	2	1-for-5 · 1 2B · 1 RBI · 2 K

Nearest neighbors

Top 10 hitters most similar to Iván Herrera across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.

Comp data temporarily unavailable.