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Iván Herrera
DH · RHB · RHP · STL
// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP
Tonight's top play
Home Runs UNDER 0.5+2.6% edgemodel 88% · grade PASS
Verdict
one call per prop — does the model agree with recent reality?Our track record
settled S/A/B picks on Iván Herrera, by confidence tier| Tier | Record | Hit rate | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| S | 7-5 | 58% | -11.2% |
| A | 7-10 | 41% | -17.3% |
| B | 3-13 | 19% | -63.2% |
Combined 17-28 · n=45 · ROI -32.0% · avg CLV +0.0 pts · beat close 0%
Matchup
Iván Herrera (RHB) vs Edward Cabrera RHPfavors batterfavors pitcherPitch-type matchup
Edward Cabrera's arsenal × how Iván Herrera hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spotxwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.
Hit-rate history
per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = underRecent form
per-game over the last 10Avg PA4.7Plate Appearancesavg 4.7
Hitsavg 1.4
Singlesavg 0.8
Doublesavg 0.5
Total Basesavg 2.2
Home Runsavg 0.1
Strikeoutsavg 0.8
Walksavg 0.3
Tonight's lines
2026-08-17 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)Same-game parlay
pick 2+ — we price the correlation the book won'tSplits
Career n=1,338 PA · 2023-07-07 → 2026-08-14
xStats luck
xwOBA0.346
wOBA0.341
delta−0.005 due
n=547 PA
Spray chart
692 balls in play since 2025Balls in play692
HR rate4.8%
Hard-hit (95+)43%
Avg exit velo89.8 mph
Ground ball49%
Line drive24%
Fly ball19%
// PLAYER DNA
No statistically significant HR signature found at current sample size. We won't fabricate a pattern — most hitters need at least a half-season of data before factor lifts stabilize.
Last 10 games
Per-game outcomes — most recent first.
Nearest neighbors
Top 10 hitters most similar to Iván Herrera across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.
Comp data temporarily unavailable.