Ezequiel Tovar

SS · RHB · RHP

// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP

Away @

COL

Starter

Freddy Peralta (RHP)

Stadium

Coors Field

Model HR%

11.3%

Our track record

settled S/A/B picks on Ezequiel Tovar, by confidence tier

Tier	Record	Hit rate	ROI
S	6-1	86%	+82.8%
A	1-2	33%	-51.7%
B	1-6	14%	-66.3%

Combined 8-9 · n=17 · ROI -2.3% · avg CLV -7.0 pts · beat close 60%

Matchup

Ezequiel Tovar (RHB) vs Freddy Peralta RHPfavors batterfavors pitcher

Freddy Peralta RHP · season · 119.3 IP · 513 BF

BAA

.261

wOBA

.302

SLG

.444

ISO

.183

WHIP

1.45

HR/9

1.28

BB%

10.3%

22.0%

Whiff%

—

Barrel%

3.0%

HH%

37.6%

FB%

33.2%

HR/FB%

17.3%

Ezequiel Tovar hitting

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	HR	BB%	K%
Season	71-373	.190	.319	.129	10	6.3%	27.3%
vs RHP	52-271	.192	.332	.140	9	5.6%	24.0%

Pitch-type matchup

Freddy Peralta's arsenal × how Ezequiel Tovar hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spot

Freddy Peralta throws

Pitch	Usage	Velo	Whiff	xwOBA
TOPFour-Seam	53%	94.5	20%	.388
Changeup	21%	88.5	30%	.296
TOPCurveball	12%	79.5	31%	.334
Slider	10%	83.5	48%	.337
Slow Curve	2%	74.8	38%	.363
Sweeper	1%	80.2	54%	.067

Ezequiel Tovar vs each

Pitch	Seen	Whiff	xwOBA	EV
TOPFour-Seam	847	25%	.400	89.6
Changeup	189	34%	.334	84.6
TOPCurveball	99	39%	.360	86.8
Slider	444	32%	.396	85.5
Slow Curve	no sample
Sweeper	243	37%	.309	87.2

xwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.

Hit-rate history

per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = under

OVER

0.5

Hits

40%4/10 · L10 · avg 0.7

Recent form

per-game over the last 10Avg PA3.4

Plate Appearancesavg 3.4

Hitsavg 0.7

Singlesavg 0.5

Doublesavg 0.1

Total Basesavg 1.1

Home Runsavg 0.1

Strikeoutsavg 0.9

Walksavg 0.2

Tonight's lines

2026-08-04 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)

Home Runs

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	UNDER	PASS	89%	—	—	—	Sign in to save	Sign in

Splits

Career n=398 PA · 2026-03-19 → 2026-08-02

Season Career

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	2B	HR	BB	K%
Season 2026 season	71-373	.190	.319	.129	18	10	25	27.3%
vs LHP left-handed pitching	19-102	.186	.284	.098	7	1	9	36.3%
vs RHP right-handed pitching	52-271	.192	.332	.140	11	9	16	24.0%
Last 15 days recent form	3-28	.107	.143	.036	1	0	2	32.1%
vs Freddy Peralta tonight's starting pitcher	5-14	.357	.857	.500	1	2	2	21.4%
@ Coors Field tonight's stadium	368-3421	.108	.178	.071	161	27	155	22.3%

xStats luck

xwOBA0.259

wOBA0.254

delta−0.005 due

n=397 PA

Spray chart

554 balls in play since 2025· wind 6 mph blowing in

Balls in play554

HR rate3.6%

Hard-hit (95+)34%

Avg exit velo86.6 mph

Ground ball36%

Line drive27%

Fly ball30%

// PLAYER DNA

HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.

Last 10 games

Per-game outcomes — most recent first.

Date	PA	H	2B	HR	BB	K	Outcomes
2026-08-03	4	4	0	1	0	0	4-for-4 · 1 HR · 1 RBI · 3 R
2026-08-02	4	0	0	0	0	1	0-for-4 · 1 RBI · 1 K
2026-08-01	2	0	0	0	0	0	0-for-2
2026-07-31	3	0	0	0	0	1	0-for-3 · 1 K
2026-07-29	2	0	0	0	0	2	0-for-2 · 2 K
2026-07-28	4	1	1	0	1	1	1-for-3 · 1 2B · 2 RBI · 1 R · 1 BB · 1 K
2026-07-25	4	1	0	0	1	0	1-for-3 · 1 R · 1 BB
2026-07-24	4	1	0	0	0	2	1-for-4 · 2 K
2026-07-21	4	0	0	0	0	2	0-for-4 · 2 K
2026-07-20	3	0	0	0	0	0	0-for-3

Nearest neighbors

Top 10 hitters most similar to Ezequiel Tovar across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.

Comp data temporarily unavailable.