Ezequiel Tovar

SS · RHB · RHP

// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP

Away @

COL

Starter

Hunter Greene

Stadium

Coors Field

Model HR%

9.3%

Model Hits%

66.3%

Our track record

settled S/A/B picks on Ezequiel Tovar, by confidence tier

Tier	Record	Hit rate	ROI
S	6-1	86%	+82.8%
A	1-2	33%	-51.7%
B	1-6	14%	-66.3%

Combined 8-9 · n=17 · ROI -2.3% · avg CLV -7.0 pts · beat close 60%

Matchup

Ezequiel Tovar (RHB) vs Hunter Greene favors batterfavors pitcher

Hunter Greene · season · 28.1 IP · 121 BF

BAA

.259

wOBA

.322

SLG

.420

ISO

.161

WHIP

1.35

HR/9

1.28

BB%

7.4%

27.3%

Whiff%

—

Barrel%

2.6%

HH%

47.4%

FB%

38.5%

HR/FB%

13.3%

Ezequiel Tovar hitting

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	HR	BB%	K%
Season	496-2013	.246	.410	.164	61	4.9%	28.2%
vs ?HP	357-1454	.246	.408	.162	43	4.3%	26.6%

Pitch-type matchup

Hunter Greene's arsenal × how Ezequiel Tovar hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spot

Hunter Greene throws

Pitch	Usage	Velo	Whiff	xwOBA
TOPFour-Seam	54%	99.5	20%	.378
TOPSlider	35%	89.6	44%	.398
Splitter	11%	88.3	28%	.371
Curveball	0%	84.0	100%	—

Ezequiel Tovar vs each

Pitch	Seen	Whiff	xwOBA	EV
TOPFour-Seam	847	25%	.400	89.6
TOPSlider	444	32%	.396	85.5
Splitter	40	39%	.324	97.2
Curveball	99	39%	.360	86.8

xwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.

Hit-rate history

per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = under

OVER

0.5

Hits

40%4/10 · L10 · avg 0.7

Recent form

per-game over the last 10Avg PA3.4

Plate Appearancesavg 3.4

Hitsavg 0.7

Singlesavg 0.5

Doublesavg 0.1

Total Basesavg 1.1

Home Runsavg 0.1

Strikeoutsavg 0.9

Walksavg 0.2

Tonight's lines

2026-08-04 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)

Home Runs

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	UNDER	PASS	89%	—	—	—	Sign in to save	Sign in

Splits

Career n=2,116 PA · 2023-03-30 → 2026-07-17

Season Career

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	2B	3B	HR	BB	K%
Career all history	496-2013	.246	.410	.164	121	13	61	103	28.2%
vs LHP left-handed pitching	139-559	.249	.417	.168	36	2	18	38	32.2%
vs RHP right-handed pitching	357-1454	.246	.408	.162	85	11	43	65	26.6%
Last 15 days recent form	2-31	.065	.194	.129	1	0	1	2	9.7%
vs Hunter Greene tonight's starting pitcher	1-5	.200	.200	.000	0	0	0	0	80.0%
@ Coors Field tonight's stadium	213-2144	.099	.212	.113	161	0	27	0	18.8%

xStats luck

xwOBA0.276

wOBA0.269

delta−0.007 due

n=363 PA

Spray chart

554 balls in play since 2025· wind 3 mph blowing in

Balls in play554

HR rate3.6%

Hard-hit (95+)34%

Avg exit velo86.6 mph

Ground ball36%

Line drive27%

Fly ball30%

// PLAYER DNA

HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.

Last 10 games

Per-game outcomes — most recent first.

Date	PA	H	2B	HR	BB	K	Outcomes
2026-07-18	4	1	0	0	1	1	1-for-3 · 1 R · 1 BB · 1 K
2026-07-17	3	0	0	0	0	1	0-for-3 · 1 K
2026-07-12	3	0	0	0	0	0	0-for-3
2026-07-11	3	0	0	0	1	0	0-for-2 · 1 BB
2026-07-10	3	1	1	0	0	0	1-for-3 · 1 2B · 1 R
2026-07-09	3	0	0	0	0	0	0-for-3
2026-07-08	4	0	0	0	0	1	0-for-4 · 1 K
2026-07-07	4	0	0	0	0	1	0-for-4 · 1 K
2026-07-06	5	1	0	1	1	0	1-for-4 · 1 HR · 2 RBI · 2 R · 1 BB
2026-07-05	2	0	0	0	0	0	0-for-2

Nearest neighbors

Top 10 hitters most similar to Ezequiel Tovar across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.

Comp data temporarily unavailable.