← BACK TO SLATE
Steven Kwan
CF · LHB · LHP · CLE
// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP
Tonight's top play
Hits OVER 0.5+10.6% edgemodel 70% · grade S
Why: strong vs the Sweeper (20% usage, .383 xwOBA).
Verdict
one call per prop — does the model agree with recent reality?Our track record
settled S/A/B picks on Steven Kwan, by confidence tier| Tier | Record | Hit rate | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| S | 4-4 | 50% | -10.0% |
| A | 5-3 | 63% | -6.7% |
| B | 1-3 | 25% | -60.0% |
Combined 10-10 · n=20 · ROI -18.7% · avg CLV -1.2 pts · beat close 29%
Matchup
Steven Kwan (LHB) vs Anthony Kay LHPfavors batterfavors pitcherPitch-type matchup
Anthony Kay's arsenal × how Steven Kwan hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spotxwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.
Hit-rate history
per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = underRecent form
per-game over the last 10Avg PA3.5Plate Appearancesavg 3.5
Hitsavg 0.9
Singlesavg 0.7
Doublesavg 0.1
Total Basesavg 1.2
Home Runsavg 0.0
Strikeoutsavg 0.3
Walksavg 0.5
Tonight's lines
2026-07-03 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)Same-game parlay
pick 2+ — we price the correlation the book won'tSplits
Career n=343 PA · 2026-03-15 → 2026-07-01
xStats luck
xwOBA0.294
wOBA0.275
delta−0.019 due
n=343 PA
Spray chart
858 balls in play since 2025· wind 10 mph cross-windBalls in play858
HR rate1.4%
Hard-hit (95+)17%
Avg exit velo84.4 mph
Ground ball39%
Line drive29%
Fly ball26%
// PLAYER DNA
HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.
Last 10 games
Per-game outcomes — most recent first.
Nearest neighbors
Top 10 hitters most similar to Steven Kwan across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.
Comp data temporarily unavailable.