Bryson Stott

2B · LHB · RHP · PHI

// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP

Home vs

WSH

Starter

Zack Littell (RHP)

Stadium

Citizens Bank Park

Model HR%

18.5%

Model Hits%

73.2%

Model K%

29.5%

Tonight's top play

Hits OVER 0.5+10.0% edgemodel 73% · grade S

Why: strong vs the Slider (28% usage, .387 xwOBA).

Verdict

one call per prop — does the model agree with recent reality?

Prop	Pick	Model	Edge	L10	Verdict
Hits	OVER 0.5	73%	+10.0%	50%	LEAN
Home Runs	OVER 0.5	19%	+4.5%	10%	CAUTION

Our track record

settled S/A/B picks on Bryson Stott, by confidence tier

Tier	Record	Hit rate	ROI
S	15-4	79%	+84.3%
A	7-8	47%	-12.9%
B	8-12	40%	+5.2%

Combined 30-24 · n=54 · ROI +28.0% · avg CLV +0.5 pts · beat close 42%

Matchup

Bryson Stott (LHB) vs Zack Littell RHPfavors batterfavors pitcher

Zack Littell RHP · season · 110.0 IP · 473 BF

BAA

.258

wOBA

.373

SLG

.470

ISO

.212

WHIP

1.40

HR/9

2.05

BB%

9.1%

15.0%

Whiff%

—

Barrel%

2.7%

HH%

45.3%

FB%

40.2%

HR/FB%

21.0%

Bryson Stott hitting

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	HR	BB%	K%
Season	539-2139	.252	.380	.128	50	8.7%	18.3%
vs RHP	412-1643	.251	.392	.141	43	8.4%	18.0%

Pitch-type matchup

Zack Littell's arsenal × how Bryson Stott hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spot

Zack Littell throws

Pitch	Usage	Velo	Whiff	xwOBA
TOPSlider	28%	87.4	17%	.418
Splitter	25%	83.5	22%	.336
TOPFour-Seam	25%	91.9	17%	.424
Sinker	15%	91.4	10%	.385
Sweeper	6%	79.3	19%	.295

Bryson Stott vs each

Pitch	Seen	Whiff	xwOBA	EV
TOPSlider	380	23%	.387	87.4
Splitter	133	17%	.242	82.1
TOPFour-Seam	1358	14%	.371	89.2
Sinker	480	10%	.286	86.9
Sweeper	147	17%	.221	78.4

xwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.

Hit-rate history

per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = under

OVER

0.5

Hits

50%5/10 · L10 · avg 0.8

Our model73% OVER+10.0% edgeS

Recent form

per-game over the last 10Avg PA3.8

Plate Appearancesavg 3.8

Hitsavg 0.8

Singlesavg 0.4

Doublesavg 0.2

Total Basesavg 1.5

Home Runsavg 0.1

Strikeoutsavg 0.7

Walksavg 0.8

Tonight's lines

2026-08-04 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)

Doubles + Triples

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	—	PASS	9%	—	+475	-1.7	Sign in to save	—

Hits

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
BEST0.5	OVER	S	73%	+10.0%	-172	-0.4	Sign in to save	Sign in
1.5	OVER	A	33%	+6.6%	+280	-1.5	Sign in to save	Sign in
2.5	OVER	PASS	8%	-0.1%	+1200	+0.5	Sign in to save	Sign in

Home Runs

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
BEST0.5	OVER	B	19%	+4.5%	+615	+0.3	Sign in to save	Sign in

RBIs

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	—	S	14%	—	+178	+0.6	Sign in to save	—
1.5	—	PASS	10%	—	+550	+0.0	Sign in to save	—

Singles

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	—	B	53%	—	+110	+1.1	Sign in to save	—
1.5	—	B	16%	—	+700	-1.8	Sign in to save	—

Strikeouts

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	—	S	30%	—	-137	+0.0	Sign in to save	—

Total Bases

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
1.5	—	PASS	41%	—	+153	+0.5	Sign in to save	—

Same-game parlay

pick 2+ — we price the correlation the book won't

Splits

Career n=2,344 PA · 2023-03-30 → 2026-08-02

Season Career

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	2B	3B	HR	BB	K%
Career all history	539-2139	.252	.380	.128	96	14	50	205	18.3%
vs LHP left-handed pitching	127-496	.256	.341	.085	19	1	7	54	19.4%
vs RHP right-handed pitching	412-1643	.251	.392	.141	77	13	43	151	18.0%
Last 15 days recent form	11-38	.289	.526	.237	4	1	1	7	26.3%
vs Zack Littell tonight's starting pitcher	2-8	.250	.250	.000	0	0	0	0	12.5%
@ Citizens Bank Park tonight's stadium	4268-13942	.306	.449	.142	789	310	192	1274	23.1%

xStats luck

xwOBA0.314

wOBA0.329

delta+0.015 hot

n=428 PA

Spray chart

752 balls in play since 2025· wind 6 mph cross-wind

Balls in play752

HR rate2.8%

Hard-hit (95+)36%

Avg exit velo88.4 mph

Ground ball42%

Line drive23%

Fly ball29%

// PLAYER DNA

HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.

Last 10 games

Per-game outcomes — most recent first.

Date	PA	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	Outcomes
2026-08-03	4	1	0	0	0	1	0	1-for-3 · 1 R · 1 BB
2026-08-02	3	0	0	0	0	2	0	0-for-1 · 1 RBI · 1 R · 2 BB
2026-08-01	4	1	0	0	0	1	0	1-for-3 · 1 R · 1 SB · 1 BB
2026-07-31	4	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-for-3 · 1 SB · 1 BB
2026-07-29	4	1	1	0	0	2	0	1-for-2 · 1 2B · 2 RBI · 1 R · 2 BB
2026-07-28	4	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-for-4 · 2 K
2026-07-27	4	2	0	1	0	1	1	2-for-3 · 1 3B · 2 R · 1 BB · 1 K
2026-07-26	4	3	1	0	1	0	1	3-for-4 · 1 HR · 5 RBI · 1 R · 1 K
2026-07-25	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-for-4 · 1 K
2026-07-24	3	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-for-3 · 2 K

Nearest neighbors

Top 10 hitters most similar to Bryson Stott across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.

Comp data temporarily unavailable.