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Travis Bazzana
2B · LHB · RHP · CLE
// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP
Tonight's top play
Home Runs OVER 0.5+3.5% edgemodel 17% · grade B
Why: strong vs the Four-Seam (24% usage, .364 xwOBA).
Verdict
one call per prop — does the model agree with recent reality?Our track record
settled S/A/B picks on Travis Bazzana, by confidence tier| Tier | Record | Hit rate | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| S | 8-7 | 53% | -11.4% |
| A | 4-9 | 31% | -21.2% |
| B | 4-8 | 33% | -9.7% |
Combined 16-24 · n=40 · ROI -14.1% · avg CLV -1.5 pts · beat close 41%
Matchup
Travis Bazzana (LHB) vs Merrill Kelly RHPfavors batterfavors pitcherPitch-type matchup
Merrill Kelly's arsenal × how Travis Bazzana hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spotxwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.
Hit-rate history
per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = underRecent form
per-game over the last 10Avg PA4.3Plate Appearancesavg 4.3
Hitsavg 0.8
Singlesavg 0.7
Doublesavg 0.1
Total Basesavg 0.9
Home Runsavg 0.0
Strikeoutsavg 0.9
Walksavg 0.5
Tonight's lines
2026-08-02 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)Same-game parlay
pick 2+ — we price the correlation the book won'tSplits
Career n=354 PA · 2026-03-15 → 2026-07-31
xStats luck
xwOBA0.294
wOBA0.335
delta+0.041 hot
n=354 PA
Spray chart
233 balls in play since 2025· wind 11 mph blowing inBalls in play233
HR rate4.7%
Hard-hit (95+)38%
Avg exit velo87.9 mph
Ground ball42%
Line drive20%
Fly ball29%
// PLAYER DNA
No statistically significant HR signature found at current sample size. We won't fabricate a pattern — most hitters need at least a half-season of data before factor lifts stabilize.
Last 10 games
Per-game outcomes — most recent first.
Nearest neighbors
Top 10 hitters most similar to Travis Bazzana across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.
Comp data temporarily unavailable.