Travis Bazzana

2B · LHB · RHP · CLE

// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP

Home vs

ATH

Starter

Jack Perkins (RHP)

Stadium

Progressive Field

Model HR%

8.5%

Model Hits%

63.9%

Tonight's top play

Hits OVER 0.5+3.0% edgemodel 64% · grade PASS

Why: strong vs the Four-Seam (42% usage, .364 xwOBA).

Verdict

one call per prop — does the model agree with recent reality?

Prop	Pick	Model	Edge	L10	Verdict
Hits	OVER 0.5	64%	+3.0%	70%	LEAN
Home Runs	OVER 0.5	8%	-2.7%	40%	PASS

Our track record

settled S/A/B picks on Travis Bazzana, by confidence tier

Tier	Record	Hit rate	ROI
S	22-15	59%	+29.8%
A	9-15	38%	+9.0%
B	9-13	41%	+0.8%

Combined 40-43 · n=83 · ROI +16.1% · avg CLV -2.1 pts · beat close 37%

Matchup

Travis Bazzana (LHB) vs Jack Perkins RHPfavors batterfavors pitcher

Jack Perkins RHP · season · 120.0 IP · 516 BF

BAA

.259

wOBA

.316

SLG

.445

ISO

.186

WHIP

1.48

HR/9

1.50

BB%

11.6%

25.2%

Whiff%

—

Barrel%

2.5%

HH%

37.1%

FB%

39.6%

HR/FB%

18.4%

Travis Bazzana hitting

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	HR	BB%	K%
Season	112-439	.255	.428	.173	17	12.7%	22.8%
vs RHP	83-303	.274	.485	.211	14	12.7%	20.8%

Pitch-type matchup

Jack Perkins's arsenal × how Travis Bazzana hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spot

Jack Perkins throws

Pitch	Usage	Velo	Whiff	xwOBA
TOPFour-Seam	42%	96.1	21%	.394
Sweeper	31%	86.2	38%	.274
Changeup	13%	89.7	44%	.278
Cutter	12%	93.2	22%	.340
Sinker	1%	95.0	0%	.245
Curveball	0%	84.2	100%	—

Travis Bazzana vs each

Pitch	Seen	Whiff	xwOBA	EV
TOPFour-Seam	160	13%	.364	91.9
Sweeper	24	25%	.248	64.9
Changeup	55	41%	.300	86.7
Cutter	30	18%	.306	93.1
Sinker	69	17%	.342	93.5
Curveball	30	13%	.433	85.6

xwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.

Hit-rate history

per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = under

OVER

0.5

Hits

70%7/10 · L10 · avg 1.0

Our model64% OVER+3.0% edgePASS

Recent form

per-game over the last 10Avg PA4.2

Plate Appearancesavg 4.2

Hitsavg 1.0

Singlesavg 0.4

Doublesavg 0.1

Total Basesavg 2.6

Home Runsavg 0.5

Strikeoutsavg 0.4

Walksavg 0.6

Tonight's lines

2026-09-20 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)

Doubles + Triples

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	—	B	9%	—	+425	+0.0	Sign in to save	—

Hits

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
BEST0.5	OVER	PASS	64%	+3.0%	-156	+0.6	Sign in to save	Sign in
1.5	OVER	PASS	24%	+1.3%	+320	+0.0	Sign in to save	Sign in

Home Runs

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
BEST0.5	OVER	PASS	8%	-2.7%	+800	-0.7	Sign in to save	Sign in

RBIs

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	—	S	5%	—	+210	+0.1	Sign in to save	—
1.5	—	A	3%	—	+550	+1.1	Sign in to save	—

Singles

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	—	B	48%	—	+115	+0.0	Sign in to save	—
1.5	—	PASS	12%	—	+700	+0.0	Sign in to save	—

Total Bases

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
1.5	—	PASS	32%	—	+174	+0.5	Sign in to save	—

Same-game parlay

pick 2+ — we price the correlation the book won't

Splits

Career n=503 PA · 2025-03-22 → 2026-09-18

Season Career

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	2B	3B	HR	BB	K%
Career all history	112-439	.255	.428	.173	21	2	17	64	22.8%
vs LHP left-handed pitching	29-136	.213	.301	.088	3	0	3	20	27.2%
vs RHP right-handed pitching	83-303	.274	.485	.211	18	2	14	44	20.8%
Last 15 days recent form	12-35	.343	.829	.486	2	0	5	7	11.4%
@ Progressive Field tonight's stadium	5195-24817	.209	.383	.174	1173	328	831	3101	27.4%

xStats luck

xwOBA0.297

wOBA0.341

delta+0.044 hot

n=499 PA

Spray chart

338 balls in play since 2025· wind 8 mph blowing in

Balls in play338

HR rate5.0%

Hard-hit (95+)38%

Avg exit velo87.5 mph

Ground ball42%

Line drive21%

Fly ball28%

// PLAYER DNA

No statistically significant HR signature found at current sample size. We won't fabricate a pattern — most hitters need at least a half-season of data before factor lifts stabilize.

Last 10 games

Per-game outcomes — most recent first.

Date	PA	H	2B	HR	BB	K	Outcomes
2026-09-19	4	0	0	0	0	0	0-for-4
2026-09-18	4	1	0	1	1	0	1-for-3 · 1 HR · 1 RBI · 1 R · 1 BB
2026-09-16	4	0	0	0	0	0	0-for-4
2026-09-15	4	2	0	2	0	1	2-for-4 · 2 HR · 2 RBI · 2 R · 1 K
2026-09-14	4	1	1	0	0	0	1-for-4 · 1 2B
2026-09-13	5	2	0	1	1	0	2-for-4 · 1 HR · 3 RBI · 2 R · 1 SB · 1 BB
2026-09-12	4	1	0	0	0	2	1-for-4 · 1 RBI · 2 K
2026-09-11	4	2	0	0	2	0	2-for-2 · 2 R · 2 BB
2026-09-09	4	0	0	0	1	0	0-for-3 · 1 R · 1 BB
2026-09-08	5	1	0	1	1	1	1-for-4 · 1 HR · 3 RBI · 1 R · 1 BB · 1 K

Nearest neighbors

Top 10 hitters most similar to Travis Bazzana across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.

Comp data temporarily unavailable.