Dominic Canzone

DH · LHB · RHP · SEA

// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP

Away @

COL

Starter

Tomoyuki Sugano (RHP)

Stadium

Coors Field

Model HR%

14.9%

Model Hits%

29.9%

Tonight's top play

Hits UNDER 1.5+8.7% edgemodel 70% · grade S

Verdict

one call per prop — does the model agree with recent reality?

Prop	Pick	Model	Edge	L10	Verdict
Hits	UNDER 1.5	70%	+8.7%	80%	STRONG
Home Runs	UNDER 0.5	85%	-3.4%	90%	PASS

Our track record

settled S/A/B picks on Dominic Canzone, by confidence tier

Tier	Record	Hit rate	ROI
S	11-5	69%	+13.9%
A	10-8	56%	+69.0%
B	2-9	18%	-71.7%

Combined 23-22 · n=45 · ROI +15.0% · avg CLV -6.7 pts · beat close 26%

Matchup

Dominic Canzone (LHB) vs Tomoyuki Sugano RHPfavors batterfavors pitcher

Tomoyuki Sugano RHP · season · 150.7 IP · 648 BF

BAA

.281

wOBA

.382

SLG

.531

ISO

.250

WHIP

1.40

HR/9

1.91

BB%

6.2%

14.0%

Whiff%

—

Barrel%

3.4%

HH%

44.3%

FB%

35.1%

HR/FB%

20.5%

Dominic Canzone hitting

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	HR	BB%	K%
Season	120-464	.259	.485	.226	23	9.4%	23.1%
vs RHP	92-351	.262	.499	.236	18	6.9%	22.8%

Pitch-type matchup

Tomoyuki Sugano's arsenal × how Dominic Canzone hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spot

Tomoyuki Sugano throws

Pitch	Usage	Velo	Whiff	xwOBA
TOPSplitter	23%	87.3	27%	.386
TOPFour-Seam	20%	92.6	12%	.480
TOPSweeper	17%	83.6	19%	.320
TOPSinker	16%	92.7	8%	.432
TOPCutter	12%	88.3	12%	.476
Curveball	9%	78.5	16%	.522
Slider	3%	84.8	19%	.587

Dominic Canzone vs each

Pitch	Seen	Whiff	xwOBA	EV
TOPSplitter	106	36%	.401	89.8
TOPFour-Seam	484	18%	.477	95.3
TOPSweeper	118	26%	.401	90.8
TOPSinker	190	18%	.445	95.5
TOPCutter	123	9%	.363	89.4
Curveball	140	28%	.553	95.0
Slider	213	41%	.542	91.0

xwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.

Hit-rate history

per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = under

OVER

0.5

Hits

90%9/10 · L10 · avg 1.1

Recent form

per-game over the last 10Avg PA4.4

Plate Appearancesavg 4.4

Hitsavg 1.1

Singlesavg 0.6

Doublesavg 0.2

Total Basesavg 2.0

Home Runsavg 0.1

Strikeoutsavg 0.7

Walksavg 0.5

Tonight's lines

2026-09-20 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)

Doubles + Triples

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	—	S	10%	—	+254	+0.7	Sign in to save	—

Hits

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
BEST1.5	UNDER	S	70%	+8.7%	-159	+1.9	Sign in to save	Sign in

Home Runs

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
BEST0.5	UNDER	PASS	85%	-3.4%	-770	+0.0	Sign in to save	Sign in

RBIs

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	—	S	10%	—	+105	-1.0	Sign in to save	—

Singles

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	—	PASS	52%	—	-155	+0.8	Sign in to save	—

Total Bases

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
1.5	—	S	38%	—	-118	-0.8	Sign in to save	—

Same-game parlay

pick 2+ — we price the correlation the book won't

Splits

Career n=512 PA · 2026-03-20 → 2026-09-18

Season Career

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	2B	3B	HR	BB	K%
Season 2026 season	120-464	.259	.485	.226	26	5	23	48	23.1%
vs LHP left-handed pitching	28-113	.248	.442	.195	3	2	5	22	23.9%
vs RHP right-handed pitching	92-351	.262	.499	.236	23	3	18	26	22.8%
Last 15 days recent form	14-50	.280	.480	.200	3	2	1	3	20.0%
@ Coors Field tonight's stadium	9-36	.250	.500	.250	9	0	0	9	0.0%

xStats luck

xwOBA0.336

wOBA0.338

delta+0.002 hot

n=511 PA

Spray chart

574 balls in play since 2025· wind 9 mph cross-wind

Balls in play574

HR rate6.1%

Hard-hit (95+)46%

Avg exit velo91.2 mph

Ground ball45%

Line drive24%

Fly ball26%

// PLAYER DNA

HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.

Last 10 games

Per-game outcomes — most recent first.

Date	PA	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	Outcomes
2026-09-19	4	1	0	0	0	2	0	1-for-2 · 1 R · 2 BB
2026-09-18	5	1	1	0	0	1	0	1-for-4 · 1 2B · 1 RBI · 1 R · 1 BB
2026-09-16	5	1	0	0	0	2	0	1-for-3 · 1 RBI · 1 R · 2 BB
2026-09-15	4	1	0	1	0	0	0	1-for-4 · 1 3B · 1 R
2026-09-14	4	1	0	0	0	0	2	1-for-4 · 1 R · 2 K
2026-09-13	5	1	1	0	0	0	1	1-for-5 · 1 2B · 1 K
2026-09-12	4	2	0	0	1	0	1	2-for-4 · 1 HR · 2 RBI · 1 R · 1 K
2026-09-11	5	2	0	1	0	0	1	2-for-5 · 1 3B · 1 K
2026-09-10	4	1	0	0	0	0	2	1-for-4 · 1 RBI · 1 R · 2 K
2026-09-09	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-for-4

Nearest neighbors

Top 10 hitters most similar to Dominic Canzone across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.

Comp data temporarily unavailable.