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Drake Baldwin
C · LHB · RHP · ATL
// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP
Tonight's top play
Hits UNDER 1.5+5.5% edgemodel 78% · grade A
Verdict
one call per prop — does the model agree with recent reality?Our track record
settled S/A/B picks on Drake Baldwin, by confidence tier| Tier | Record | Hit rate | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| S | 3-0 | 100% | +107.6% |
| A | 4-5 | 44% | -16.0% |
| B | 1-4 | 20% | -72.6% |
Combined 8-9 · n=17 · ROI -10.8% · avg CLV -1.0 pts · beat close 33%
Matchup
Drake Baldwin (LHB) vs Gerrit Cole RHPfavors batterfavors pitcherPitch-type matchup
Gerrit Cole's arsenal × how Drake Baldwin hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spotxwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.
Hit-rate history
per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = underRecent form
per-game over the last 10Avg PA4.3Plate Appearancesavg 4.3
Hitsavg 1.0
Singlesavg 0.9
Doublesavg 0.1
Total Basesavg 1.1
Home Runsavg 0.0
Strikeoutsavg 0.8
Walksavg 0.3
Tonight's lines
2026-08-08 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)Same-game parlay
pick 2+ — we price the correlation the book won'tSplits
Career n=430 PA · 2026-03-16 → 2026-08-06
xStats luck
xwOBA0.355
wOBA0.355
deltaneutral
n=430 PA
Spray chart
640 balls in play since 2025Balls in play640
HR rate6.3%
Hard-hit (95+)51%
Avg exit velo92.5 mph
Ground ball48%
Line drive23%
Fly ball24%
// PLAYER DNA
HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.
Last 10 games
Per-game outcomes — most recent first.
Nearest neighbors
Top 10 hitters most similar to Drake Baldwin across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.
Comp data temporarily unavailable.