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Colt Keith
3B · LHB · RHP · DET
// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP
Tonight's top play
Hits OVER 0.5+15.1% edgemodel 72% · grade S
Why: strong vs the Four-Seam (48% usage, .445 xwOBA).
Verdict
one call per prop — does the model agree with recent reality?Our track record
settled S/A/B picks on Colt Keith, by confidence tier| Tier | Record | Hit rate | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| S | 15-3 | 83% | +123.8% |
| A | 3-3 | 50% | +169.7% |
| B | 0-6 | 0% | -100.0% |
Combined 18-12 · n=30 · ROI +88.2% · avg CLV +0.8 pts · beat close 50%
Matchup
Colt Keith (LHB) vs Bryan Woo RHPfavors batterfavors pitcherPitch-type matchup
Bryan Woo's arsenal × how Colt Keith hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spotxwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.
Hit-rate history
per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = underRecent form
per-game over the last 10Avg PA3.0Plate Appearancesavg 3.0
Hitsavg 1.1
Singlesavg 0.7
Doublesavg 0.2
Total Basesavg 1.7
Home Runsavg 0.0
Strikeoutsavg 0.4
Walksavg 0.3
Tonight's lines
2026-08-06 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)Same-game parlay
pick 2+ — we price the correlation the book won'tSplits
Career n=337 PA · 2026-03-15 → 2026-08-02
xStats luck
xwOBA0.315
wOBA0.311
delta−0.004 due
n=337 PA
Spray chart
596 balls in play since 2025· wind 4 mph blowing inBalls in play596
HR rate3.5%
Hard-hit (95+)44%
Avg exit velo89.7 mph
Ground ball40%
Line drive27%
Fly ball27%
// PLAYER DNA
HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.
Last 10 games
Per-game outcomes — most recent first.
Nearest neighbors
Top 10 hitters most similar to Colt Keith across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.
Comp data temporarily unavailable.