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Colt Keith
3B · LHB · RHP · DET
// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP
Tonight's top play
Hits OVER 0.5+7.9% edgemodel 68% · grade A
Why: strong vs the Four-Seam (30% usage, .445 xwOBA).
Verdict
one call per prop — does the model agree with recent reality?Our track record
settled S/A/B picks on Colt Keith, by confidence tier| Tier | Record | Hit rate | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| S | 19-19 | 50% | +1.7% |
| A | 5-6 | 45% | +171.7% |
| B | 6-12 | 33% | -53.4% |
Combined 30-37 · n=67 · ROI +14.8% · avg CLV +0.5 pts · beat close 48%
Matchup
Colt Keith (LHB) vs Davis Martin RHPfavors batterfavors pitcherPitch-type matchup
Davis Martin's arsenal × how Colt Keith hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spotxwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.
Hit-rate history
per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = underRecent form
per-game over the last 10Avg PA2.6Plate Appearancesavg 2.6
Hitsavg 0.5
Singlesavg 0.1
Doublesavg 0.3
Total Basesavg 1.1
Home Runsavg 0.1
Strikeoutsavg 0.6
Walksavg 0.3
Tonight's lines
2026-09-20 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)Same-game parlay
pick 2+ — we price the correlation the book won'tSplits
Career n=1,562 PA · 2024-03-15 → 2026-09-18
xStats luck
xwOBA0.324
wOBA0.314
delta−0.010 due
n=441 PA
Spray chart
661 balls in play since 2025Balls in play661
HR rate3.5%
Hard-hit (95+)45%
Avg exit velo89.6 mph
Ground ball40%
Line drive28%
Fly ball26%
// PLAYER DNA
HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.
Last 10 games
Per-game outcomes — most recent first.
Nearest neighbors
Top 10 hitters most similar to Colt Keith across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.
Comp data temporarily unavailable.