Chase DeLauter

RF · LHB · LHP · CLE

// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP

Home vs

ATH

Starter

Jack Perkins (RHP)

Stadium

Progressive Field

Model HR%

10.8%

Model Hits%

67.0%

Model K%

37.9%

Tonight's top play

Hits UNDER 0.5+1.2% edgemodel 33% · grade PASS

Why: struggles vs the Sweeper (31% usage, .290 xwOBA).

Verdict

one call per prop — does the model agree with recent reality?

Prop	Pick	Model	Edge	L10	Verdict
Hits	UNDER 0.5	33%	+1.2%	40%	LEAN
Home Runs	OVER 0.5	11%	-3.5%	20%	PASS

Our track record

settled S/A/B picks on Chase DeLauter, by confidence tier

Tier	Record	Hit rate	ROI
S	17-10	63%	+14.9%
A	6-6	50%	+41.0%
B	4-7	36%	+38.0%

Combined 27-23 · n=50 · ROI +26.3% · avg CLV -1.5 pts · beat close 21%

Matchup

Chase DeLauter (LHB) vs Jack Perkins RHPfavors batterfavors pitcher

Jack Perkins RHP · season · 120.0 IP · 516 BF

BAA

.259

wOBA

.316

SLG

.445

ISO

.186

WHIP

1.48

HR/9

1.50

BB%

11.6%

25.2%

Whiff%

—

Barrel%

2.5%

HH%

37.1%

FB%

39.6%

HR/FB%

18.4%

Chase DeLauter hitting

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	HR	BB%	K%
Season	144-488	.295	.469	.174	16	10.9%	16.2%
vs RHP	95-333	.285	.480	.195	14	12.1%	13.2%

Pitch-type matchup

Jack Perkins's arsenal × how Chase DeLauter hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spot

Jack Perkins throws

Pitch	Usage	Velo	Whiff	xwOBA
TOPFour-Seam	42%	96.1	21%	.394
Sweeper	31%	86.2	38%	.274
Changeup	13%	89.7	44%	.278
Cutter	12%	93.2	22%	.340
Sinker	1%	95.0	0%	.245
Curveball	0%	84.2	100%	—

Chase DeLauter vs each

Pitch	Seen	Whiff	xwOBA	EV
TOPFour-Seam	291	15%	.364	93.2
Sweeper	74	10%	.290	90.5
Changeup	125	19%	.213	85.6
Cutter	66	16%	.402	89.6
Sinker	121	2%	.445	91.1
Curveball	50	16%	.244	88.4

xwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.

Hit-rate history

per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = under

OVER

0.5

Hits

60%6/10 · L10 · avg 0.9

Our model33% UNDER+1.2% edgePASS

Recent form

per-game over the last 10Avg PA4.3

Plate Appearancesavg 4.3

Hitsavg 0.9

Singlesavg 0.4

Doublesavg 0.3

Total Basesavg 1.8

Home Runsavg 0.2

Strikeoutsavg 0.4

Walksavg 0.6

Tonight's lines

2026-09-20 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)

Doubles + Triples

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	—	A	7%	—	+400	+0.0	Sign in to save	—

Hits

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
BEST0.5	UNDER	PASS	33%	+1.2%	+215	-0.1	Sign in to save	Sign in
1.5	OVER	PASS	26%	-2.1%	+260	-1.6	Sign in to save	Sign in

Home Runs

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
BEST0.5	OVER	PASS	11%	-3.5%	+600	+0.0	Sign in to save	Sign in

RBIs

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	—	S	7%	—	+157	+0.2	Sign in to save	—
1.5	—	A	5%	—	+500	+0.0	Sign in to save	—

Singles

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	—	PASS	52%	—	+103	+0.5	Sign in to save	—
1.5	—	PASS	15%	—	+500	+0.0	Sign in to save	—

Strikeouts

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	—	PASS	38%	—	-137	+0.0	Sign in to save	—

Total Bases

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
1.5	—	S	32%	—	+132	-0.4	Sign in to save	—

Same-game parlay

pick 2+ — we price the correlation the book won't

Splits

Career n=548 PA · 2026-03-15 → 2026-09-18

Season Career

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	2B	3B	HR	BB	K%
Season 2026 season	144-488	.295	.469	.174	31	3	16	60	16.2%
vs LHP left-handed pitching	49-155	.316	.445	.129	10	2	2	14	22.6%
vs RHP right-handed pitching	95-333	.285	.480	.195	21	1	14	46	13.2%
Last 15 days recent form	4-22	.182	.318	.136	0	0	1	5	9.1%
@ Progressive Field tonight's stadium	7304-23285	.314	.451	.137	2324	0	289	2147	19.3%

xStats luck

xwOBA0.334

wOBA0.365

delta+0.031 hot

n=546 PA

Spray chart

412 balls in play since 2025· wind 6 mph blowing in

Balls in play412

HR rate3.9%

Hard-hit (95+)47%

Avg exit velo91.4 mph

Ground ball45%

Line drive27%

Fly ball19%

// PLAYER DNA

HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.

Last 10 games

Per-game outcomes — most recent first.

Date	PA	H	2B	HR	BB	K	Outcomes
2026-09-19	5	2	0	1	0	1	2-for-5 · 1 HR · 3 RBI · 2 R · 1 K
2026-09-18	4	1	0	0	1	0	1-for-3 · 1 BB
2026-09-14	4	0	0	0	1	0	0-for-3 · 1 SB · 1 BB
2026-09-13	5	1	0	0	1	0	1-for-4 · 1 BB
2026-09-12	4	0	0	0	1	1	0-for-3 · 1 BB · 1 K
2026-09-11	5	0	0	0	1	1	0-for-4 · 1 BB · 1 K
2026-09-09	5	2	0	1	0	0	2-for-5 · 1 HR · 2 RBI · 1 R
2026-09-04	4	2	2	0	1	0	2-for-3 · 2 2B · 1 R · 1 SB · 1 BB
2026-09-04	2	0	0	0	0	1	0-for-2 · 1 K
2026-09-03	5	1	1	0	0	0	1-for-5 · 1 2B

Nearest neighbors

Top 10 hitters most similar to Chase DeLauter across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.

Comp data temporarily unavailable.