Chase DeLauter

RF · LHB · LHP · CLE

// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP

Away @

MIA

Starter

Tyler Phillips (RHP)

Stadium

loanDepot park

Model HR%

12.7%

Model Hits%

74.4%

Model K%

31.8%

Tonight's top play

Hits UNDER 0.5+3.3% edgemodel 33% · grade B

Why: struggles vs the Sweeper (23% usage, .290 xwOBA).

Verdict

one call per prop — does the model agree with recent reality?

Prop	Pick	Model	Edge	L10	Verdict
Hits	UNDER 0.5	33%	+3.3%	40%	LEAN
Home Runs	OVER 0.5	15%	-2.1%	10%	PASS

Our track record

settled S/A/B picks on Chase DeLauter, by confidence tier

Tier	Record	Hit rate	ROI
S	9-4	69%	+32.0%
A	2-5	29%	-32.0%
B	4-3	57%	-12.3%

Combined 15-12 · n=27 · ROI +3.9% · avg CLV -1.9 pts · beat close 15%

Matchup

Chase DeLauter (LHB) vs Tyler Phillips RHPfavors batterfavors pitcher

Tyler Phillips RHP · season · 86.5 IP · 372 BF

BAA

.236

wOBA

.338

SLG

.376

ISO

.139

WHIP

1.39

HR/9

1.04

BB%

11.3%

17.7%

Whiff%

—

Barrel%

3.5%

HH%

43.7%

FB%

31.2%

HR/FB%

16.1%

Chase DeLauter hitting

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	HR	BB%	K%
Season	97-325	.298	.492	.194	14	10.5%	15.1%
vs RHP	61-222	.275	.486	.212	12	11.6%	13.5%

Pitch-type matchup

Tyler Phillips's arsenal × how Chase DeLauter hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spot

Tyler Phillips throws

Pitch	Usage	Velo	Whiff	xwOBA
TOPSinker	30%	95.6	9%	.293
Sweeper	23%	84.5	43%	.311
Curveball	21%	84.0	41%	.386
Splitter	17%	87.4	34%	.247
Four-Seam	8%	95.2	8%	.420
Cutter	0%	90.4	0%	—

Chase DeLauter vs each

Pitch	Seen	Whiff	xwOBA	EV
TOPSinker	121	2%	.445	91.1
Sweeper	74	10%	.290	90.5
Curveball	50	16%	.244	88.4
Splitter	48	17%	.316	91.0
Four-Seam	291	15%	.364	93.2
Cutter	66	16%	.402	89.6

xwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.

Hit-rate history

per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = under

OVER

0.5

Hits

60%6/10 · L10 · avg 0.7

Our model33% UNDER+3.3% edgeB

Recent form

per-game over the last 10Avg PA4.4

Plate Appearancesavg 4.4

Hitsavg 0.7

Singlesavg 0.5

Doublesavg 0.1

Total Basesavg 1.1

Home Runsavg 0.1

Strikeoutsavg 0.8

Walksavg 0.6

Tonight's lines

2026-08-02 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)

Doubles + Triples

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	—	A	8%	—	+375	-0.7	Sign in to save	—

Hits

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
BEST0.5	UNDER	B	33%	+3.3%	+236	-0.1	Sign in to save	Sign in
1.5	UNDER	PASS	73%	-1.9%	-300	—	Sign in to save	Sign in
2.5	OVER	PASS	7%	-4.5%	+800	+0.0	Sign in to save	Sign in

Home Runs

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
BEST0.5	OVER	PASS	15%	-2.1%	+475	+0.7	Sign in to save	Sign in

RBIs

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	—	S	10%	—	+134	+4.9	Sign in to save	—

Singles

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	—	PASS	50%	—	+106	-0.7	Sign in to save	—

Strikeouts

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	—	PASS	32%	—	-137	+0.0	Sign in to save	—

Total Bases

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
1.5	—	S	34%	—	+116	+0.6	Sign in to save	—

Same-game parlay

pick 2+ — we price the correlation the book won't

Splits

Career n=363 PA · 2024-03-15 → 2026-07-10

Season Career

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	2B	3B	HR	BB	K%
Career all history	97-325	.298	.492	.194	19	1	14	38	15.1%
vs LHP left-handed pitching	36-103	.350	.505	.155	8	1	2	9	18.4%
vs RHP right-handed pitching	61-222	.275	.486	.212	11	0	12	29	13.5%
Last 15 days recent form	19-51	.373	.627	.255	4	0	3	2	15.7%
@ loanDepot park tonight's stadium	310-620	.500	1.250	.750	0	0	155	0	25.0%

xStats luck

xwOBA0.326

wOBA0.362

delta+0.036 hot

n=343 PA

Spray chart

313 balls in play since 2025· wind 4 mph blowing in

Balls in play313

HR rate4.2%

Hard-hit (95+)46%

Avg exit velo91.1 mph

Ground ball42%

Line drive27%

Fly ball20%

// PLAYER DNA

HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.

Last 10 games

Per-game outcomes — most recent first.

Date	PA	H	2B	HR	BB	K	Outcomes
2026-07-11	5	0	0	0	2	1	0-for-3 · 2 BB · 1 K
2026-07-10	4	2	0	1	0	1	2-for-4 · 1 HR · 2 RBI · 1 R · 1 K
2026-07-09	4	1	0	1	0	0	1-for-4 · 1 HR · 1 RBI · 1 R
2026-07-08	5	2	0	0	1	1	2-for-4 · 1 RBI · 1 R · 1 BB · 1 K
2026-07-07	4	2	1	0	1	0	2-for-3 · 1 2B · 1 BB
2026-07-05	5	2	0	1	0	0	2-for-5 · 1 HR · 2 RBI · 2 R
2026-07-04	4	1	0	0	0	3	1-for-4 · 3 K
2026-07-03	4	0	0	0	0	1	0-for-4 · 1 K
2026-07-02	5	1	0	0	0	0	1-for-5 · 1 RBI
2026-07-01	5	3	1	0	0	0	3-for-5 · 1 2B · 1 RBI · 1 R · 1 SB

Nearest neighbors

Top 10 hitters most similar to Chase DeLauter across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.

Comp data temporarily unavailable.