Kevin McGonigle

SS · LHB · RHP · DET

// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP

Away @

SEA

Starter

Bryce Miller (RHP)

Stadium

T-Mobile Park

Model HR%

14.4%

Model Hits%

73.1%

Tonight's top play

Hits OVER 0.5+8.6% edgemodel 73% · grade S

Verdict

one call per prop — does the model agree with recent reality?

Prop	Pick	Model	Edge	L10	Verdict
Hits	OVER 0.5	73%	+8.6%	50%	LEAN
Home Runs	OVER 0.5	14%	+0.1%	20%	CAUTION

Our track record

settled S/A/B picks on Kevin McGonigle, by confidence tier

Tier	Record	Hit rate	ROI
S	5-2	71%	+31.2%
A	2-4	33%	+95.7%
B	1-4	20%	-70.0%

Combined 8-10 · n=18 · ROI +24.6% · avg CLV +0.4 pts · beat close 62%

Matchup

Kevin McGonigle (LHB) vs Bryce Miller RHPfavors batterfavors pitcher

Bryce Miller RHP · season · 66.0 IP · 284 BF

BAA

.204

wOBA

.259

SLG

.370

ISO

.167

WHIP

1.04

HR/9

1.64

BB%

4.9%

26.1%

Whiff%

—

Barrel%

2.7%

HH%

32.3%

FB%

43.0%

HR/FB%

15.0%

Kevin McGonigle hitting

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	HR	BB%	K%
Season	122-437	.279	.421	.142	12	15.0%	16.2%
vs RHP	90-305	.295	.456	.161	9	16.7%	13.8%

Hit-rate history

per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = under

OVER

0.5

Hits

50%5/10 · L10 · avg 1.2

Our model73% OVER+8.6% edgeS

Recent form

per-game over the last 10Avg PA5.2

Plate Appearancesavg 5.2

Hitsavg 1.2

Singlesavg 1.0

Doublesavg 0.0

Total Basesavg 1.8

Home Runsavg 0.2

Strikeoutsavg 0.7

Walksavg 0.8

Tonight's lines

2026-08-06 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)

Doubles + Triples

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	—	PASS	11%	—	+400	-1.1	Sign in to save	—

Hits

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
BEST0.5	OVER	S	73%	+8.6%	-182	-1.2	Sign in to save	Sign in
1.5	OVER	PASS	29%	+1.9%	+240	+0.0	Sign in to save	Sign in
2.5	OVER	PASS	6%	-3.9%	+900	+0.9	Sign in to save	Sign in

Home Runs

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
BEST0.5	OVER	PASS	14%	+0.1%	+600	+1.2	Sign in to save	Sign in

RBIs

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	—	S	11%	—	+238	+1.7	Sign in to save	—
1.5	—	PASS	7%	—	+700	+1.4	Sign in to save	—

Singles

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	—	A	53%	—	+111	-1.9	Sign in to save	—
1.5	—	PASS	13%	—	+500	+1.3	Sign in to save	—

Total Bases

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
1.5	—	PASS	38%	—	+152	+0.5	Sign in to save	—

Same-game parlay

pick 2+ — we price the correlation the book won't

Splits

Career n=514 PA · 2026-03-16 → 2026-08-04

Season Career

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	2B	3B	HR	BB	K%
Season 2026 season	122-437	.279	.421	.142	20	3	12	77	16.2%
vs LHP left-handed pitching	32-132	.242	.341	.098	4	0	3	16	22.0%
vs RHP right-handed pitching	90-305	.295	.456	.161	16	3	9	61	13.8%
Last 15 days recent form	14-49	.286	.408	.122	0	0	2	8	16.3%
vs SEA tonight's opponent (full roster)	4-14	.286	.357	.071	1	0	0	2	7.1%
@ T-Mobile Park tonight's stadium	0-36	.000	.000	.000	0	0	0	9	25.0%

xStats luck

xwOBA0.344

wOBA0.358

delta+0.014 hot

n=514 PA

Spray chart

367 balls in play since 2025

Balls in play367

HR rate3.5%

Hard-hit (95+)37%

Avg exit velo88.2 mph

Ground ball32%

Line drive23%

Fly ball36%

// PLAYER DNA

HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.

Last 10 games

Per-game outcomes — most recent first.

Date	PA	H	HR	BB	K	Outcomes
2026-08-05	4	0	0	0	0	0-for-4
2026-08-04	5	0	0	1	1	0-for-4 · 1 RBI · 1 BB · 1 K
2026-08-02	6	0	0	2	1	0-for-4 · 1 R · 2 BB · 1 K
2026-08-01	5	3	1	1	0	3-for-4 · 1 HR · 2 RBI · 2 R · 1 BB
2026-07-31	6	1	1	2	1	1-for-4 · 1 HR · 2 RBI · 2 R · 2 BB · 1 K
2026-07-29	6	0	0	0	1	0-for-6 · 1 RBI · 1 K
2026-07-28	6	4	0	1	0	4-for-5 · 1 RBI · 4 R · 1 BB
2026-07-27	5	2	0	0	2	2-for-5 · 2 K
2026-07-26	5	2	0	1	0	2-for-4 · 1 R · 1 BB
2026-07-25	4	0	0	0	1	0-for-4 · 1 K

Nearest neighbors

Top 10 hitters most similar to Kevin McGonigle across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.

Comp data temporarily unavailable.